Cypher Monster

Bread, Bytes, and Broken Futures: Why Revolutions Start When Tomorrow Becomes Unpriceable Revolutions don’t usually start at the bottom of the misery chart. They start when daily life stops being calculable . Not “life is hard” — humans can normalize hard. But “life is random” — that’s political napalm. That’s the heart of the Predictability Shock Model (PSM) : uprisings ignite when people can’t predict simple but existential things — the price of bread, the value of wages, whether medicine will be available, whether tomorrow’s rules will void today’s work. When the future becomes an ambush, compliance stops looking sensible. Iran and Syria are the cleanest modern anchors for this. The PSM in one sentence Revolutions begin when expectation systems collapse — not when poverty exists. Poverty is a level. Revolutions are a slope. People tolerate deprivation when the rules are stable. They revolt when the rules become roulette. Iran: When the Bazaar Can’t Price Tomorrow Iran is ...